Retail Trading Landscape Shifts as Prediction Markets Target Macro Events

Retail investors may soon increasingly bypass traditional asset classes to trade directly on macroeconomic outcomes, following a strategic partnership between brokerage infrastructure firm DriveWealth and prediction exchange Kalshi.

Democratizing Macro Risk

The integration will allow DriveWealth‘s global network of B2B partners to embed Kalshi’s event contracts into their trading platforms. This development effectively bridges the gap between conventional equity investing and binary event speculation.

Investors will be able to hedge or speculate on critical market movers—including inflation data (CPI), election results, and central bank policy shifts—within the same ecosystem used for stocks and ETFs.

• Annualized trading volume on Kalshi has reportedly exceeded $100 billion.
• Key assets include inflation data (CPI) and central bank policy predictions.
• Strategic partnership leverages DriveWealth infrastructure to democratize access.

Regulatory Scrutiny Intensifies

While the partnership lowers barriers to entry, the asset class remains under the microscope of federal regulators. Kalshi operates as a CFTC-regulated exchange, distinguishing it from offshore crypto-based prediction protocols.

However, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) recently reiterated warnings regarding insider trading in event contracts, signaling that as retail access expands, so too will surveillance on market integrity.