Geopolitical Watch: Markets Weigh Iranian Intervention Risks
Quiet trading ahead of the holidays belies significant geopolitical tension in the Middle East that could spark sudden volatility in Crude Oil (WTI/Brent) and Safe Havens (Gold, CHF).
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Abstract:The world’s oil supply lines have recently received a shock as the sanctions against Russian for the invasion of Ukraine have made oil supply difficult for global consumers. One of the most affected continents is Europe as it received a fair bulk of its oil supply from Russia, and now that the supply chain has dried up, the Euro currency’s inflation rate has hit new record highs as the cost of services and oil have skyrocketed. What does this mean for us traders, how are we to benefit from these events?
If you have an interest in trading the EURO in light of this news, you are going to need a regulated broker with very low spreads. To find such a broker I recommend you use WikiFX. This App is connected to all the regulatory boards out there so they keep a list of the best-rated brokers who are regulated and feature very low spreads. They also show you which brokers are known scammers, so you will be able to avoid these bad apples and save your money. So for any broker inquiry you may have, use WikiFX, they will save you time and money.

In their recent meeting, the European Central Bank raised its interest rates to combat the recent rise in inflation. This is a policy change that has not been executed in ten years. As the oil supply issue has not been remedied, the European Central Bank is expected to further increase interest rates. According to Isabel Schnabel, an ECB board member, the bank is willing to commit to more drastic steps to curb inflation rates, to the point of risking higher unemployment.
A rise in interest rates means banks will make it harder for businesses and consumers to take out loans. This will, in turn, discourage people from taking out loans and in effect, it will combat inflation as the money supply dries up in an economy. This will mean there will be less spending within an economy and businesses are likely to report fewer earnings.
How can we traders take advantage of this ?
The next European Central Bank Interest rate Announcement is going to take place on the 8th of September where we will most likely see the ECB raise interest rates to get inflation under control. You must note that date, as after the announcement there likely will be increased volatility in the markets. On that day be sure to manage your open trades well as the volatility may dip you in massive profits or losses.
If the interest rates are high, this will likely mean the currency will gain value and we then go short on the Euro, if the announcement doesnt increase rates, then we short currency as no replacements for oil have been made and inflation will only continue to ravage the economy. Remember to keep a close on that announcement because regardless of the announcement, there is likely going to be market volatility. Good luck out there and Good hunting fellas.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.

Quiet trading ahead of the holidays belies significant geopolitical tension in the Middle East that could spark sudden volatility in Crude Oil (WTI/Brent) and Safe Havens (Gold, CHF).
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